Iranian Review of Foreign Affairs

Iranian Review of Foreign Affairs

The U.S.'s Role in the Future Process of Iran-Russia Relations

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Afifeh Abedi 1
Mohammad Rahim Eivazi 2
Jahangir Karami 3
1 Ph.D. Candidate of Political Studies of the Islamic Revolution of Iran (Future Studies), Shahed University, Tehran, Iran
2 Professor of Futures Studies Department, Faculty of Governance, Tehran University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Professor of International Relations in the Department of Russian Studies, Faculty of World Studies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
10.22034/irfa.2024.479998.1256
Abstract
Iran and Russia have some common issues due to their geographical proximity; on other hand, these two countries have nearly identical perspectives on some regional and global political and security issues, and they can use their capacities to create a model of complementary cooperation between the two countries.
Yet, political-security concerns on the regional and global levels, particularly with regard to US policy towards the two nations, have always impacted these collaborations. Examining the history of relations between Iran and Russia over the last four decades reveals that the United States of America has consistently played the most important and influential role in Tehran-Moscow relations.
However, an examination of America's influence on the ups and downs of Iran-Russia relations reveals that this factor has established milestones in increasing Iran and Russia's common understanding of being on the same axis.
The existing assumptions also show that, as a result of regional and international trends, cybernetic logic has emerged in the development of Iran-Russia relations with the goal of balancing the threat against America, which may lead to the realization of the Iran-Russia strategic alliance scenario.
In this study, the trend effect analysis method is used to identify the role of the United States in the process of Iran-Russia relations, and the new and potential dimensions of Tehran-Moscow relations are identified as a result of the American component.
Keywords
Iran
Russia
the U.S
Strategic Alliance
Future Process

Subjects

Article Title Persian

نقش آمریکا در روند آینده روابط ایران و روسیه

Authors Persian

عفیفه عابدی 1
محمدرحیم عیوضی 2
جهانگیر کرمی 3
1 دانشجوی دکتری مطالعات سیاسی انقلاب اسلامی (گرایش آینده پژوهی)، دانشگاه شاهد، تهران، ایران
2 استاد گروه آیندهپژوهی، دانشکده حکمرانی، دانشگاه تهران،تهران، ایران.
3 دانشیار روابط بین‌الملل در گروه مطالعات روسیه دانشکده مطالعات جهان دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
Abstract Persian

ایران و روسیه به دلیل همجواری جغرافیایی دارای برخی مسایل مشترک هستند، از سوی دیگر این دو کشور تقریبا دارای دیدگاه‌های مشترک در قبال برخی مسایل سیاسی و امنیتی منطقه‌ای و جهانی هستند، و می‌توانند با استفاده از ظرفیت‌های خود، الگویی از همکاری‌های مکمل دو کشور را به نمایش بگذارند. اما این همکاری ها همواره تحت تاثیر ملاحظات سیاسی-امنیتی منطقه ای و بین المللی و مشخصا سیاست آمریکا در قبال دو کشور قرار داشته است. بررسی روند روابط ایران و روسیه در 4 دهه گذشته نشان می‌دهد، ایالات‌متحده آمریکا همواره مهم‌ترین و تاثیرگذارترین نقش را در روابط تهران و مسکو ایفا کرده است. اما بررسی روند تاثیر آمریکا بر فراز و فرود روابط ایران و روسیه، نشان می دهد این عامل نقاط عطفی در افزایش درک مشترک ایران و روسیه برای قرار گرفتن در یک محور ایجاد کرده است. پیش فرض های موجود نیز نشان می دهد در اثر روندهای منطقه ای و بین المللی، منطق سایبرنتیکی در توسعه روابط ایران و روسیه با هدف موازنه تهدید در مقابل آمریکا ایجاد شده که می‌تواند منجر به تحقق سناریوی اتحاد راهبردی ایران-روسیه شود. در این پژوهش با روش تحلیل اثر روند، نقش آمریکا در روند روابط ایران و روسیه شناسایی شده و سپس ابعاد جدید و بالقوه روابط تهران و مسکو بر اثر مولفه آمریکا شناسایی می‌شود.

Keywords Persian

ایران
روسیه
آمریکا
اتحاد استراتژیک
روند آینده
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  • Receive Date 27 March 2023
  • Revise Date 22 April 2023
  • Accept Date 21 May 2023